The situation
The Interior Ministry’s final results confirmed PAM’s 97-seat first-place finish in the September 23 House of Representatives election, ahead of the National Rally of Independents with 66 seats and the Istiqlal Party with 65. The final tally matched the September 24 provisional result, ending uncertainty over the count but not over the composition of the next government.
PAM is 101 seats short of the 198 required for a majority in the 395-member chamber, so it cannot govern alone. No coalition agreement, cabinet composition, formal designation process or government appointment had been established in the available evidence as of September 26. The Justice and Development Party has said it will remain in opposition.
Why it matters
The confirmed result shifts Morocco’s immediate political focus from election administration to bargaining among parties over a governing coalition. The fragmented distribution gives PAM the initiative in negotiations but does not establish a governing mandate or a timetable for cabinet formation.
National turnout was 38.08%, below the 50.86% recorded in 2021. While the supplied evidence does not establish a direct operational consequence from turnout, the lower participation provides additional context for the next government’s political mandate as coalition talks proceed.
What changed
On September 25, the Interior Ministry converted PAM’s September 24 provisional 97-seat lead into a final confirmed result; the seat distribution itself did not materially change.
The assessment
Current judgement
PAM has secured the largest parliamentary bloc, but the decisive next step is whether it can assemble a coalition with a viable majority.
What could challenge this assessment
The available evidence establishes the seat arithmetic but does not document the parties’ coalition preferences, negotiation terms or a formal designation timetable.
Impacts
Political Stability
Final results confirm PAM as the largest bloc, but its 97 seats are well below the 198-seat majority threshold, leaving the timing and composition of the next government dependent on coalition bargaining.
Diplomacy
Morocco’s external policy continuity will depend on the eventual coalition and cabinet, neither of which had been confirmed as of September 26.
Economic Pressure
No economic-policy decision is established in the evidence, but government formation will determine which coalition can advance the next legislative and policy agenda.
What to watch
- Do PAM, RNI and Istiqlal announce a formal coalition agreement or another documented governing arrangement?
- Does the constitutional designation and cabinet-formation process produce a government with support from at least 198 deputies?
Evidence and uncertainty
Moderate confidence. Moderate confidence. 3 retained references from 2 reporting origins (Associated Press, Moroccan Ministry of Interior). Claim-level independent corroboration has not been established. Confidence concerns the evidence for the reported development, not the probability of an outlook.
Useful context
Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM)
A Moroccan political party that won 97 seats in the 2026 House of Representatives election.
PAM holds the largest bloc but lacks enough seats to govern alone.
National Rally of Independents (RNI)
A Moroccan political party that won 66 seats in the 2026 House of Representatives election.
Its parliamentary strength makes it a consequential potential partner in coalition negotiations.
Istiqlal Party
A Moroccan political party that won 65 seats in the 2026 House of Representatives election.
Its seats are relevant to the coalition arithmetic needed to reach a parliamentary majority.
Geographic context
- 01Rabat, Morocco (city)