Analysis from 26 September 2026. This is a dated briefing, preserved with its original edition. Events may have changed since. Read its sources and uncertainty in that context.
Reported developments

The situation

Morocco’s Interior Ministry confirmed on 25 September that the Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) won 97 seats in the 395-seat House of Representatives election held on 23 September. The National Rally of Independents won 66 seats and Istiqlal 65.

PAM is the largest bloc but remains below the 198 seats needed for an outright majority. The result does not itself determine the next government or prime minister; coalition negotiations and the appointment process remain unresolved.

Analysis

Why it matters

The result reshapes bargaining among the parties that have recently formed Morocco’s governing coalitions. The pace and outcome of coalition formation will determine whether the next government has a durable working majority or relies on a narrower, potentially less stable arrangement.

The immediate effect is domestic rather than regional: the seat totals alone do not establish a change in Morocco’s external policy, where the monarchy remains a major influence on strategic decision-making.

What changed

On 25 September, the Interior Ministry confirmed final results matching the provisional count released on 24 September, establishing PAM as the largest parliamentary bloc with 97 seats.

Potential consequences

Impacts

Political Stability

PAM’s confirmed first-place finish clarifies the parliamentary balance, but no party holds a majority and coalition bargaining will determine the durability of the next government.

Diplomacy

The election result may affect the next government’s domestic priorities, but the seat totals alone do not demonstrate a change in Morocco’s external policy.

Scenarios, not predictions

What to watch

  • Which parties formally enter a coalition agreement with PAM, and does their combined seat total clear the 198-seat majority threshold?
  • Does the appointment process produce a government with a defined parliamentary majority or a more fragile governing arrangement?

Evidence and uncertainty

Moderate confidence. Moderate confidence. 3 retained references from 3 reporting origins (Associated Press, Morocco World News, Al Jazeera). Claim-level independent corroboration has not been established. Confidence concerns the evidence for the reported development, not the probability of an outlook.

Useful context

Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM)

A Moroccan political party that won the largest number of seats in the 2026 House of Representatives election.

PAM’s 97 seats place it at the centre of negotiations to assemble a governing majority.

National Rally of Independents (RNI)

A Moroccan political party that won 66 seats in the 2026 House of Representatives election.

RNI is the second-largest bloc and a potential participant in coalition negotiations.

Istiqlal

A Moroccan political party that won 65 seats in the 2026 House of Representatives election.

Istiqlal’s parliamentary strength makes it relevant to the formation of a majority coalition.

Geographic context

90°N90°S · 180°W0° longitude180°ERabat, Morocco · 34.0209°, -6.8416° · city1
  • 01Rabat, Morocco (city)
Locations referenced in this briefing. Points show geographic context at the listed precision; they do not identify exact incident sites or boundaries.
Trace the reporting

Sources