Topic coverage
Dated GeoSignal briefings on Political Stability. Read developments, assessment and source references in their original context.
A New Taipei court sentenced Hsu Chun-ying to seven years on 11 August after finding reported violations of Taiwan’s Anti-Infiltration Act and Banking Act linked to contacts with Chinese officials and an NT$24.5 million transfer from China outside formal banking channels.
A New Taipei court sentenced Taiwanese citizen Hsu Chun-ying to seven years on August 11 for violations of Taiwan’s Anti-Infiltration Act and Banking Act involving contacts with Chinese officials and an NT$24.5 million transfer from China outside formal banking channels.
The US Senate passed a stopgap funding bill on August 8, but federal appropriations still expire on September 30 unless the House approves the measure and President Donald Trump signs it.
The US Senate approved a stopgap funding bill 90-6 on August 8, but federal funding is not yet extended because the House must pass the measure and President Donald Trump must sign it.
Mali’s revised Transition Charter remains the governing political framework, giving Assimi Goïta a five-year mandate from 2025 that can be renewed without an election.
Gas deliveries from the Mellitah Oil & Gas complex to Libyan power plants have reportedly resumed after protesters temporarily closed supply lines during demonstrations over electricity outages, though the underlying political unrest remains unresolved.
Nicaraguan authorities are preparing constitutional and electoral changes after Daniel Ortega said future elections would not be held, while the final legal text and replacement mechanism remain unclear.
Thousands rallied in Tunis on 25 July 2026, demanding President Kais Saied leave office and highlighting continuing opposition to the political order established by his 2021 exceptional measures.
Pakistan-administered Kashmir’s phased assembly election remains under way after clashes disrupted the July 27 opening vote, with the second phase scheduled for August 2.
Libyan authorities secured the Mellitah complex on July 28 and the National Oil Corporation authorised production and normal gas flows to resume, easing an immediate threat to western Libya’s electricity grid after protesters halted operations.
Pakistan-administered Kashmir’s constitutional-assembly election is proceeding in phases after protest-related clashes in Mirpur killed a paramilitary officer and disrupted the opening vote on July 28.
Libya’s Tripoli-based government says gas supply from the Mellitah complex is resuming gradually after protesters shut lines feeding power plants, while the scale and duration of disruptions to El Feel and Wafa production remain unverified.
Protests over prolonged electricity outages in Tripoli escalated on 27 July into roadblocks and blockades affecting public institutions, increasing pressure on Libya’s Tripoli-based Government of National Unity.
Protesters in Tripoli and nearby districts are blocking roads and access to public institutions as prolonged electricity cuts during a heatwave broaden into demands for accountability and political change.
Bangladesh Parliament Speaker Hafiz Uddin Ahmad is performing the president’s functions after Mohammed Shahabuddin resigned on 24 July for stated health reasons, with Parliament required to elect a successor within 90 days.
Özgür Özel and 90 other lawmakers registered the New Party with Turkey’s Interior Ministry on 24 July after resigning from the Republican People’s Party (CHP), formalising their breakaway following Özel’s removal from the CHP leadership.
Bangladesh President Mohammed Shahabuddin resigned on 24 July, with Parliament Speaker Hafiz Uddin Ahmad assuming presidential duties until lawmakers elect a successor.
Bangladesh President Mohammed Shahabuddin’s spokesperson said on 23 July that he plans to resign on 24 July, though the available evidence does not confirm that the resignation has been submitted or that a successor is in place.
Daniel Ortega’s 19 July declaration that Nicaragua will hold no further elections effectively cancels the vote expected in 2027 politically, although no law formally abolishing elections had been identified by 22 July.
Israel’s 25th Knesset ended its term on July 17, formalising the election period ahead of the regularly scheduled October 27, 2026 national vote.
Hungary’s 17th constitutional amendment has ended President Tamás Sulyok’s mandate after he signed the measure on 18 July, completing a parliamentary move by the new government to remake institutions associated with the previous Fidesz-led majority.
Israel’s Knesset completed its four-year term on July 17, leaving the October 27 election timetable unchanged while the outgoing parliament remains in office until a new Knesset convenes.
Andy Burnham is Labour leader as of 19 July, but has not yet formally become UK prime minister; the transfer of office is expected on 20 July.
Israel entered an election period after the Knesset dissolved on 17 July, with a national vote scheduled for 27 October 2026 and the outgoing government remaining in office pending a successor administration.
